Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 1.217593e-01 0.149817 0.180400 0.215921 0.255758 0.298791 0.348519
2025-04-06 8.265492e-02 0.118710 0.161732 0.215631 0.280175 0.353893 0.443367
2025-04-13 5.885860e-02 0.098922 0.151086 0.220986 0.309367 0.414821 0.547591
2025-04-20 4.294109e-02 0.084808 0.144154 0.228646 0.340528 0.478835 0.658029
2025-04-27 3.113447e-02 0.073000 0.137632 0.235012 0.369348 0.540505 0.767571
2025-05-04 2.095587e-02 0.060259 0.127004 0.233644 0.386809 0.587637 0.859968
2025-05-11 1.474486e-02 0.052120 0.121561 0.238365 0.411884 0.644748 0.966038
2025-05-18 9.384817e-03 0.043056 0.112533 0.236095 0.426180 0.687307 1.053796
2025-05-25 4.817140e-03 0.032521 0.098219 0.223240 0.423488 0.705862 1.109646
2025-06-01 2.878208e-03 0.027699 0.093558 0.225322 0.442472 0.754225 1.205663
2025-06-08 1.316896e-03 0.021875 0.085117 0.219557 0.448567 0.784087 1.276790
2025-06-15 8.504103e-04 0.020521 0.086464 0.231324 0.482384 0.854050 1.403706
2025-06-22 3.193697e-04 0.016940 0.081526 0.231115 0.497452 0.898067 1.496918
2025-06-29 8.370121e-05 0.014086 0.077519 0.232110 0.514316 0.944980 1.594966
2025-07-06 1.528947e-05 0.012420 0.076339 0.238507 0.540257 1.005778 1.713409
2025-07-13 5.814042e-07 0.011237 0.076252 0.247029 0.569938 1.072609 1.841214
2025-07-20 NaN 0.009994 0.075517 0.254006 0.597088 1.136044 1.964996
2025-07-27 NaN 0.008018 0.071247 0.252730 0.609655 1.177411 2.057692
2025-08-03 NaN 0.006940 0.069919 0.257800 0.633413 1.236186 2.176010
2025-08-10 NaN 0.005395 0.065637 0.255467 0.643649 1.274090 2.264495
2025-08-17 NaN 0.003412 0.057238 0.241953 0.632608 1.278239 2.303596
2025-08-24 NaN 0.002731 0.055308 0.244167 0.650560 1.328145 2.410109
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001810 0.050476 0.238100 0.652445 1.352322 2.478787